Efficient ensemble forecasting of marine ecology with clustered 1D models and statistical lateral exchange: application to the Red Sea     

Denis Dreano  Kostas Tsiaras  George Triantafyllou  Ibrahim Hoteit 《Ocean Dynamics》2017,67(7):935-947

Forecasting the state of large marine ecosystems is important for many economic and public health applications. However, advanced three-dimensional (3D) ecosystem models, such as the European Regional Seas Ecosystem Model (ERSEM), are computationally expensive, especially when implemented within an ensemble data assimilation system requiring several parallel integrations. As an alternative to 3D ecological forecasting systems, we propose to implement a set of regional one-dimensional (1D) water-column ecological models that run at a fraction of the computational cost. The 1D model domains are determined using a Gaussian mixture model (GMM)-based clustering method and satellite chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) data. Regionally averaged Chl-a data is assimilated into the 1D models using the singular evolutive interpolated Kalman (SEIK) filter. To laterally exchange information between subregions and improve the forecasting skills, we introduce a new correction step to the assimilation scheme, in which we assimilate a statistical forecast of future Chl-a observations based on information from neighbouring regions. We apply this approach to the Red Sea and show that the assimilative 1D ecological models can forecast surface Chl-a concentration with high accuracy. The statistical assimilation step further improves the forecasting skill by as much as 50%. This general approach of clustering large marine areas and running several interacting 1D ecological models is very flexible. It allows many combinations of clustering, filtering and regression technics to be used and can be applied to build efficient forecasting systems in other large marine ecosystems.  相似文献   

Decrease in the clear air transmission at Helwan Observatory site     

J. S. Mikhail  B. B. Baghos  M. Y. Tawadrous  Y. E. Helali  H. Awad  KH. I. Khalil  M. El-Saftawe  M. Ibrahim 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1995,70(1-3):143-149

Clear air atmospheric transparency of eight nights at Helwan Observatory site during autumn period of 1987 have been determined using the yellow filter GG5. The prevailing atmospheric transmission extends to 58%. A comparison with previous values obtained with the same filter and site during autumn period of 1963 shows a considerable decrease at the present years in the clear air transmission of the site of Helwan. This can be attributed to the aerosol pollution of the site caused mainly by the increase of the industrial centers at Helwan Zone. Clear air atmospheric transparency values at the beginning of winter season and at spring season are also given.  相似文献   

Interpretation of magnetic anomalies of dikes using correlation factors   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ibrahim Kara  Mustafa Özdemir  F. Ahmet Yüksel 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1996,147(4):777-788

The magnetic anomaly due to a buried dike consists of the sum of two easily separated elementary functions. These functions, which have simple symmetry, are called even and odd functions. The correlation factors (r _0,1 for the even andr _0,2 for the odd function) between least-squares residual anomalies from even and odd functions are computed. Correlation values are used to determine the depth to the top and the half-width of the dike. The method also includes the determination of the index parameter and the amplitude coefficient. The validity of the method is tested against a theoretical and a field example where the parameters of the latter were determined by other investigators in comparing the results.  相似文献   

Lunar electric fields,surface Potential and Associated Plasma Sheaths   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

J. W. Freeman  M. Ibrahim 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1975,14(1):103-114

This paper reviews the electric field environment of the Moon. Lunar surface electric potentials are reported as follows: Solar Wind - Dayside: ø_o + 10 to + 18 V Solar Wind - Terminator: ø_o ç ? 10 to ? 100 V Electron and ion densities in the plasma sheath adjacent to each surface potential regime are evaluated and the corresponding Debye length estimated. The electric fields are then approximated by the surface potential over the Debye length. The results are: Solar Wind - Dayside: E_o ? 10 V m^?1 outward Solar Wind - Terminator: E_o ç 1 to 10 V m^?1 inward These fields are all at least 3 orders of magnitude higher than the pervasive solar wind electric field; however they are confined to within a few tens of meters of the lunar surface.  相似文献   

Energy consumption,CO2 emissions and GDP in Nigeria     

Sulaiman Chindo  Abdulsamad Abdulrahim  Salisu Ibrahim Waziri  Wong M. Huong  Abdulfatah Abubakar Ahmad 《GeoJournal》2015,80(3):315-322

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Simulated watershed responses to land cover changes using the Regional Hydro‐Ecological Simulation System          下载免费PDF全文

Ibrahim Nourein Mohammed  David G. Tarboton 《水文研究》2014,28(15):4511-4528

In this work, we used the Regional Hydro‐Ecological Simulation System (RHESSys) model to examine runoff sensitivity to land cover changes in a mountain environment. Two independent experiments were evaluated where we conducted simulations with multiple vegetation cover changes that include conversion to grass, no vegetation cover and deciduous/coniferous cover scenarios. The model experiments were performed at two hillslopes within the Weber River near Oakley, Utah watershed (USGS gauge # 10128500). Daily precipitation, air temperature and wind speed data as well as spatial data that include a digital elevation model with 30 m grid resolution, soil texture map and vegetation and land use maps were processed to drive RHESSys simulations. Observed runoff data at the watershed outlet were used for calibration and verification. Our runoff sensitivity results suggest that during winter, reduced leaf area index (LAI) decreases canopy interception resulting in increased snow accumulations and hence snow available for runoff during the early spring melt season. Increased LAI during the spring melt season tends to delay the snow melting process. This delay in snow melting process is due to reduced radiation beneath high LAI surfaces relative to low LAI surfaces. The model results suggest that annual runoff yield after removing deciduous vegetation is on average about 7% higher than with deciduous vegetation cover, while annual runoff yield after removing coniferous vegetation is on average as about 2% higher than that produced with coniferous vegetation cover. These simulations thus help quantify the sensitivity of water yield to vegetation change. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

In situ cone penetration tests at the active Dashgil mud volcano,Azerbaijan: Evidence for excess fluid pressure,updoming, and possible future violent eruption     

Achim Kopf  Sylvia Stegmann  Georg Delisle  Behrouz Panahi  Chingiz S. Aliyev  Ibrahim Guliyev 《Marine and Petroleum Geology》2009

Active mud volcanism is a global phenomenon that represents a natural hazard by self-igniting eruptions and the continuous emission of methane gas in both marine and continental settings. Mud domes are often found in compressional tectonic settings such as the Caucasus orogenic wedge. Dashgil mud volcano, the most prominent of >200 features in Azerbaijan, has erupted vigorously in historic times. For several years, we have observed variations in the activity of Dashgil dome, including transients in methane flux, build-up of extrusive mud cones on the main feature, and flexural polygonal cracks adjacent to the main crater lake and new mud cones. In spring 2007, we carried out in situ CPTU (Cone Penetration Testing with Pore Pressure measurement) experiments in the crestal area of Dashgil. Our data suggest that the central portion of the crater lake, which hosts the conduit for gas (and possible mud) ascent, shows both low sediment shear strength (<5–20 kPa) and excess pore fluid pressures between 15 and 30 kPa supra-hydrostatic at 1 m sub-bottom depth. In situ cone resistance as a measure for undrained shear strength is as low as 150 kPa in the conduit, whereas the mud is found rather stiff in all other testing locations (300–700 kPa, probably a result of deeply buried shales of the Maikop formation parts of which now liquefy and ascend). Pore pressure is low in the centre of the conduit, probably because of rapidly migrating gas. It increases to 30 kPa at the lake bottom and deep flank, then decreases upslope on the lake flank, and reaches hydrostatic values at the crater rim. From the overpressured region beneath the fluid-filled crest of Dashgil dome, combined with the other observations, we suspect to currently witness an ongoing period of updoming. The presence of sintered mudstones from explosive eruptions in 1908 and 1928 (and most likely before) suggests that a similar violent activity may occur in the near future.  相似文献   

Correlations of SPT,CPT and DPL Data for Sandy Soil in Tanzania     

Mwajuma Ibrahim Lingwanda  Stefan Larsson  Dalmas L. Nyaoro 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》2015,33(5):1221-1233

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Geology and geochemistry of the granitic rocks and associated dykes, East Gabal Nuqra, South Eastern Desert, Egypt     

Ibrahim H.Ibrahim  Mostafa E.Darwish 《中国地球化学学报》2012,31(4):376-389

A crescent-shape granitic stock and associated dykes is located to the East Gabal Nuqra at the extreme western part of Wadi Natash,South Eastern Desert,Egypt.The examined granites are classified as alkali-feldspar granites and mainly consist of quartz,potash feldspars,plagioclases,and aegirine-augite.Xenotime,zircon,apatite and allanite are accessories representing the source of Y,U,Th and REEs in these rocks.These granites are characterized by high K2O,Na2O and Zn contents and Rb/Sr ratio.Also,they are highly enriched in high field strength elements(HFSE),especially Zr(1529×10-6),Nb(100×10-6),Hf(91×10-6) and Y(624×10-6) and light rare-earth elements(LREE,141×10-6) concentrations and strongly depleted in Ca,Mg,Sr and Eu contents.These features suggest that they are similar to A-type granites(type-2).The rhyolite dykes and granites have similar geochemical characteristics whereas the chondrite-normalized REE patterns show a LREE enriched feature with strong negative Eu-anomaly,whereas the REE pattern of trachydacites show slightly fractionated pattern with no Eu-anomaly.It is suggested that the trachydacites were generated by small degree of partial-melting deep-seated basic source.Such liquid,when subjected to fractional crystallization involving separation of plagioclases as residue,generated the alkali-feldspar granites.And further fractional crystallization gave rise to the alkali rhyolites.The igneous rock suite originated from metaluminous to alkaline trachytic magma,and was developed in a within-plate tectonic environment.The extension caused by NW-SE right-lateral shear in area led to the emplacement of the alkali-feldspar granites.The later extrusion of the alkali rhyolite and trachydacite dykes was due to cauldron subsidence.  相似文献   

Opaque mineralogy and magnetic investigation of some basaltic occurrences, Sinai, Egypt     

Nadia Wassif  Ibrahim El-Hemaly  Emad Henery  Hatem Odah 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2012,5(4):769-779

Ore microscopic investigation of the Fe?CTi oxide minerals was carried out on samples from three Oligo-Miocene basaltic occurrences from Sinai, Egypt. These occurrences are Gebel Maghara (north Sinai), Rageibet Naama (central Sinai), and Wadi Matulla (west Sinai). The results and correlations of magnetic parameters such as NRM intensity and susceptibility, coercive force H _c, and the ratio M _r/M _s, H _c and Q value, the ratio M _r/M _s, saturation magnetization M _s, and K are discussed in light of opaque mineralogical studies. It has been found that the variations in the magnetic properties of the basaltic occurrences are strongly dependent on the crystallite size and nature and style of exsolution textures and fabrics. The latter are controlled by the cooling conditions, being most sensitive to the partial pressure of oxygen in the melt.  相似文献